Ran this same route Feb. 18th. Took me 2:41 at an 8:35 pace. I was banged up and it was muddy.
My goal this time was to hit an 8:00 pace. I chose that speed because it's about 1 minute faster than my (slowest) goal pace, and because of the challenges in this particular route.
I actually hit 7:51 pace and 2:26 total time...in spite of the 80 degree temp and high humidity.
There are a lot of hills on this route so finishing this fast without feeling totally spent is a good sign. My right leg felt close to 100% and my left knee surprisingly hardly tightened at all. Between the strength training and rolling the huge knots out of both quads I feel much more limber, loose, and strong.
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